North Bay Fires

2017-2020 • Sonoma County & Region, California

8,900+

North Bay structures (2017)

374

Kincade structures (2019)

2,990

LNU + Glass structures (2020)

5

Fires on one page

Summary

Five fires over four years. The 2017 North Bay Fires — including the Tubbs Fire — were the first modern multi-county catastrophic housing loss event in California and the disaster that launched After the Fire USA. Kincade (2019), LNU/Walbridge (2020), and Glass (2020) are best understood as repeat-disaster stress tests for the systems built after 2017. Together they tell a single story: what it means to build recovery infrastructure, maintain it, and deploy it again.

Why It Matters

The Sonoma County fires are the foundation of the national cross-fire learning record. Every model After the Fire USA carries into other disasters — Block Captains, public dashboards, dedicated permit centers, permanent recovery infrastructure — was developed or proven here. Kincade and the 2020 fires confirmed that the investment in 2017 systems paid measurable dividends.

“Recovery does not start with completed homes — it starts with a functioning pipeline.” — After the Fire USA

Quick Facts

The Fires

Tubbs Fire (2017)
5,636 structures • Santa Rosa (Coffey Park, Fountaingrove) • Fire that launched ATF USA
North Bay Complex (2017)
~8,900 structures total • Sonoma, Napa, Lake, Mendocino Counties • 43 fatalities
Kincade Fire (2019)
374 structures • Geyserville area • Handled on Tubbs-era systems
LNU/Walbridge (2020)
~1,491 structures • Lake, Napa, Sonoma, Yolo Counties • Rural
Glass Fire (2020)
~1,500 structures • Napa and Sonoma Counties • Reburn area

Recovery Context

Community Type
Suburban/Urban Mix (2017) · Rural/Suburban (2019–2020)
2017 Compensation
Fire Victim Trust (PG&E settlement) — Note: The FVT has not been a positive experience for many survivors, who have waited years and as of 2026 have received only approximately 70% of their claim determinations.
2019–2020 Compensation
Non-claimant fires — no settlement pathway
Philanthropy Scale
High (2017) · Moderate (2019–2020)
Key Dynamic
Repeat disaster — systems built after 2017 deployed again in 2019 and 2020
Key Gap Revealed
Language access for Spanish-speaking and non-English-speaking communities not fully built until 2020

Recovery Status

Santa Rosa (Tubbs): ~2,500 COs at 6 years — ~80% of city losses rebuilt

North Bay Complex county-wide: ~4,600 COs at 6 years (~75% resolved)

Kincade: integrated into Permit Sonoma systems without a separate recovery structure — faster as a result

LNU: parcel-level tracking via Sonoma County RESA maps; no unified multi-county system established

Glass: existing Sonoma County systems absorbed parcels; FEMA frameworks as primary backbone

~180,000 people evacuated in 12 hours during Kincade — mass evacuation capacity demonstrated

Language access gap: county did not fully stand up dedicated translation capacity until 2020 during COVID

Best Practices

What Worked: Field-tested by After the Fire USA

Block Captain networks (Coffey Park, Fountaingrove) → scalable, trusted communication infrastructure — now used nationally

Resiliency Permit Center live within 4 months — 5-day plan-check turnaround published and enforced — the national benchmark

Third-party plan review decoupled from normal queue — prevented backlogs from stalling early pipeline

Public rebuild dashboard tracking every parcel from application to CO

Permanent recovery infrastructure: Kincade and Glass deployed Tubbs-era systems without starting over

North Bay Forest Improvement Program with CAL FIRE → linked recovery with long-term fuel reduction on private land

Mass evacuation at scale — 180,000 people moved in ~12 hours during Kincade

Redundant alert systems — digital and analog overlapped, improving reach across the region

Our Work

After the Fire USA: Our Work in this community

Rebuild North Bay Foundation was established during the 2017 fires to coordinate long-term recovery across all four counties, serving as a hub for government, nonprofit, philanthropic, and private sector partners. The organization deployed approximately $500,000 in small grants for unmet needs; led shared infrastructure projects including retaining walls, neighborhood fencing, and multi-home rebuilding efforts; and launched the North Bay Forest Improvement Program with CAL FIRE. This work evolved into After the Fire USA. For Kincade and the 2020 fires, ATF USA and regional partners supported redeployment of systems born from 2017: evacuation planning, community communication, analog and digital alerts, and survivor-centered coordination. The period also surfaced a critical gap — language access — that ATF USA now treats as non-negotiable infrastructure in every subsequent fire.

Links

Policy Takeaways

Recovery speed correlates directly with local organizing capacity — it must be built, not assumed

Permanent recovery systems outlast any single fire — Kincade and the 2020 fires proved it

The 5-day plan-check turnaround standard set in Santa Rosa is the national benchmark ATF USA uses in every fire

Language access is not optional — emergency and recovery systems must reach all residents from day one

Recovery must include mitigation or losses will repeat — Glass reburned what 2017 had already burned

Repeat disasters test whether recovery systems were actually built to last

Our Analytical Framework

No Two Fires Recover the Same Way

Structure loss counts tell you what burned. They don't tell you who was there, whether the infrastructure could support a rebuild, or whether survivors had any real path to compensation. After eight years across fifteen+ fires, we use a six-dimension framework to assess what recovery actually requires — and why copying one fire's playbook onto another can do more harm than good.